SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sri Lanka win with a probability of 68.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Bhutan had a probability of 12.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sri Lanka win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Bhutan win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sri Lanka in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sri Lanka | Draw | Bhutan |
68.86% ( -0.07) | 18.72% ( -0.07) | 12.41% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 48.57% ( 0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.86% ( 0.66) | 43.14% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.46% ( 0.65) | 65.54% ( -0.65) |
| Sri Lanka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.56% ( 0.17) | 11.43% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.77% ( 0.36) | 36.23% ( -0.37) |
| Bhutan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.85% ( 0.65) | 45.15% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.94% ( 0.51) | 81.06% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sri Lanka | Draw | Bhutan |
| 2-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.25)2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.6% Total : 68.85% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.82% Total : 18.72% | 0-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.18% Total : 12.41% |
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