Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Bhutan had a probability of 16.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Bhutan win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.