Australia are ranked 156 places higher than Bangladesh, and we think that sizeable difference will be reflected on the pitch, which is why we believe the Socceroos will cruise to a comfortable victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Bangladesh had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Bangladesh win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.
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