With the teams closely matched in terms of squad quality, we expect an entertaining and end-to-end affair with goals at both ends. That said, we are also backing the home side to narrowly edge out their visitors come the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Algeria had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Algeria win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
