SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oman win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for China had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oman win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest China win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| China | Draw | Oman |
31.97% ( -0.06) | 28.13% ( -0.05) | 39.89% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.85% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.83% ( 0.16) | 59.17% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.4% ( 0.12) | 79.6% ( -0.12) |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.96% ( 0.04) | 34.04% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.28% ( 0.04) | 70.72% ( -0.04) |
| Oman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.03% ( 0.14) | 28.97% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.14% ( 0.17) | 64.86% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| China | Draw | Oman |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.1% 2-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 31.97% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.64% Total : 39.89% |
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