SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | USA | 3 | 12 | 7 |
| 2 | Jamaica | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 3 | -14 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 57.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Oman had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.21%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Oman win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Oman |
57.71% ( 3.73) | 24.91% ( -1.77) | 17.38% ( -1.96) |
| Both teams to score 42.08% ( 1.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.7% ( 3.5) | 58.3% ( -3.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.07% ( 2.67) | 78.93% ( -2.67) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.81% ( 2.99) | 20.19% ( -2.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.51% ( 4.57) | 52.49% ( -4.57) |
| Oman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.73% ( -0.29) | 47.27% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.31% ( -0.22) | 82.69% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA | Draw | Oman |
| 1-0 @ 15.27% ( -0.64) 2-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.58)2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.36)3-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.85)3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.6)4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.53)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.21)Other @ 3.28% Total : 57.7% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.58) 0-0 @ 9.54% ( -1.34)2-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.49% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -1.08) 1-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.43)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.2% Total : 17.38% |
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