SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Malaysia had a probability of 18.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Malaysia win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| China | Draw | Malaysia |
58.15% ( 4.78) | 23.73% ( -1.54) | 18.12% ( -3.25) |
| Both teams to score 46.45% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% ( 1.9) | 53.14% ( -1.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.29% ( 1.59) | 74.71% ( -1.59) |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.95% ( 2.58) | 18.05% ( -2.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.05% ( 4.24) | 48.95% ( -4.24) |
| Malaysia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.69% ( -2.5) | 43.31% ( 2.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.45% ( -2.16) | 79.55% ( 2.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| China | Draw | Malaysia |
| 1-0 @ 13.38% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.96)2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 6.54% ( 1.02)3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.53)4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.62)4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.27)Other @ 2.35% Total : 58.14% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.72) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.6)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( -1) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.65)0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.64)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.73% Total : 18.12% |
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