SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Palestine had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Palestine win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that China would win this match.
| Result | ||
| China | Draw | Palestine |
39.1% ( -4.86) | 27.2% ( 4.74) | 33.7% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( -16.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.63% ( -21.45) | 55.37% ( 21.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.42% ( -20.8) | 76.58% ( 20.79) |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.39% ( -11.51) | 27.61% ( 11.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.86% ( -17.64) | 63.14% ( 17.64) |
| Palestine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.1% ( -10.22) | 30.9% ( 10.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.81% ( -13.92) | 67.19% ( 13.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| China | Draw | Palestine |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% ( 4.89) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.45)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 1.51)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -1.77)3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -2.11)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -1.29)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.57)Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.09% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 3.31) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 5.2)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -2.02)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 4.76) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.88% ( 1.75)1-3 @ 2.96% ( -1)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -1.72)Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.69% |
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