SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 50.65%. A win for Palestine had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Palestine win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Indonesia | Draw | Palestine |
50.65% ( 0.16) | 24.29% ( 0.02) | 25.06% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 54.14% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.3% ( -0.23) | 47.69% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.11% ( -0.21) | 69.89% ( 0.21) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% ( -0.02) | 18.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.7% ( -0.04) | 50.3% ( 0.04) |
| Palestine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.71% ( -0.28) | 33.29% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.1% ( -0.31) | 69.9% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Indonesia | Draw | Palestine |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 50.65% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.06% |
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