SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for China had a probability of 13.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a China win it was 1-2 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| New Zealand | Draw | China |
67.68% ( -0.08) | 18.39% ( 0.06) | 13.93% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.1% ( -0.19) | 37.9% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.85% ( -0.21) | 60.15% ( 0.21) |
| New Zealand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.72% ( -0.07) | 10.28% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.34% ( -0.17) | 33.66% ( 0.17) |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.51% ( -0.08) | 39.49% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.82% ( -0.08) | 76.18% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| New Zealand | Draw | China |
| 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 7.97% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.7% Total : 67.68% | 1-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.39% | 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 13.93% |
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