SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 64.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for China had a probability of 15.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a China win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New Zealand | Draw | China |
64.03% ( 0.04) | 20.56% ( -0.01) | 15.41% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.59% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.32% ( -0.03) | 44.68% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.95% ( -0.03) | 67.05% ( 0.03) |
| New Zealand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.75% ( -0) | 13.25% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.97% ( 0) | 40.03% ( -0) |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.31% ( -0.07) | 41.69% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.84% ( -0.06) | 78.16% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| New Zealand | Draw | China |
| 2-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.97% Total : 64.03% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.56% | 0-1 @ 4.83% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 1.68% Total : 15.41% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
