SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 50.01%. A win for Fiji had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Fiji win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solomon Islands would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiji | Draw | Solomon Islands |
26.87% ( -0.47) | 23.12% ( -0.12) | 50.01% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 59.81% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59% ( 0.2) | 41% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.61% ( 0.21) | 63.39% ( -0.2) |
| Fiji Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.68% ( -0.23) | 28.32% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.95% ( -0.3) | 64.05% ( 0.3) |
| Solomon Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.44% ( 0.29) | 16.56% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.66% ( 0.52) | 46.34% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiji | Draw | Solomon Islands |
| 2-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.58% Total : 26.87% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 5.73% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.58% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.01% |
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