SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 43.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 26.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Tanzania win it was 0-1 (10.84%).
| Result | ||
| Gambia | Draw | Tanzania |
43.74% ( 1.18) | 29.42% ( 3.32) | 26.83% ( -4.5) |
| Both teams to score 41.25% ( -11.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.98% ( -13.46) | 65.02% ( 13.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.09% ( -10.55) | 83.9% ( 10.55) |
| Gambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.31% ( -5.66) | 29.68% ( 5.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.26% ( -7.45) | 65.74% ( 7.45) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.66% ( -10.77) | 41.33% ( 10.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.15% ( -11.06) | 77.85% ( 11.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gambia | Draw | Tanzania |
| 1-0 @ 14.9% ( 4.43) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 1.58)2-1 @ 8% ( -0.86)3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.97)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -1.06)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.52)Other @ 1.37% Total : 43.74% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.75) 0-0 @ 12.27% ( 4.93)2-2 @ 3.53% ( -1.71)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.41% | 0-1 @ 10.84% ( 2.14) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -1.54)0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.37)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -1.19)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.63)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -1.03)Other @ 1.23% Total : 26.83% |
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