SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Tanzania had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Tanzania win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%).
| Result | ||
| Libya | Draw | Tanzania |
43.56% ( 0.01) | 26.87% ( -0.01) | 29.57% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.56% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.72% ( 0.02) | 55.28% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.49% ( 0.02) | 76.5% ( -0.02) |
| Libya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.81% ( 0.02) | 25.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.09% ( 0.02) | 59.91% ( -0.02) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.24% ( 0) | 33.75% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.58% ( 0) | 70.41% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Libya | Draw | Tanzania |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.56% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.57% |
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