SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Tanzania had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Tanzania win it was 1-0 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tanzania | Draw | Algeria |
21.6% ( -0.01) | 26.66% ( 0.03) | 51.74% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.58% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.34% ( -0.11) | 59.66% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.03% ( -0.08) | 79.98% ( 0.08) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.77% ( -0.07) | 43.23% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.52% ( -0.06) | 79.48% ( 0.06) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% ( -0.06) | 23.24% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.85% ( -0.08) | 57.15% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tanzania | Draw | Algeria |
| 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.53% 3-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.6% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 14.66% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 10.69% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.2% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 51.73% |
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