SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Niger | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niger win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Tanzania had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niger win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Tanzania win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Niger | Draw | Tanzania |
39.06% ( 0.01) | 26% ( -0.01) | 34.94% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.09% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.7% ( 0.06) | 50.3% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.76% ( 0.06) | 72.24% ( -0.05) |
| Niger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( 0.03) | 25.27% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.96% ( 0.04) | 60.04% ( -0.04) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% ( 0.04) | 27.62% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.84% ( 0.04) | 63.16% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Niger | Draw | Tanzania |
| 1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 39.06% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.94% |
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