SM
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Russia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Israel | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Israel had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Israel win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Israel | Draw | Malta |
29.5% ( -0.01) | 23.06% ( 0.02) | 47.44% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.12% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.15% ( -0.09) | 38.85% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.84% ( -0.09) | 61.16% ( 0.1) |
| Israel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.57% ( -0.05) | 25.42% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.75% ( -0.07) | 60.24% ( 0.08) |
| Malta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.3% ( -0.04) | 16.7% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.41% ( -0.07) | 46.59% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Israel | Draw | Malta |
| 2-1 @ 7.13% 1-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0)4-2 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.5% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.06% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.82% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.31% Total : 47.44% |
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