SM
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 2-1 with a probability of 8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.58%) and 3-2 (5.05%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malta | Draw | Venezuela |
45.06% ( -0.01) | 20.8% ( 0.01) | 34.13% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 73.31% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.71% ( -0.05) | 25.28% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.71% ( -0.06) | 45.28% ( 0.06) |
| Malta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.64% ( -0.02) | 12.35% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.81% ( -0.05) | 38.18% ( 0.05) |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.64% ( -0.02) | 16.36% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.03% ( -0.04) | 45.97% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malta | Draw | Venezuela |
| 2-1 @ 8% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0)3-2 @ 5.05% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.64% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 3.63% Total : 45.06% | 1-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.24% 3-3 @ 3.05% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.8% | 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.37% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0)0-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.98% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.38% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 34.13% |
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