SM
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malta | Draw | Estonia |
43.5% ( 0.15) | 23.45% ( 0.04) | 33.05% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 62.61% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61% ( -0.24) | 39% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.68% ( -0.25) | 61.32% ( 0.25) |
| Malta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.69% ( -0.03) | 18.31% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.61% ( -0.05) | 49.39% ( 0.05) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.64% ( -0.22) | 23.36% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.67% ( -0.32) | 57.33% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malta | Draw | Estonia |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.67% Total : 43.5% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.05% |
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