SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 53.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Guinea |
53.63% ( -0.01) | 26.39% ( -0.01) | 19.97% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.25% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.71% ( 0.06) | 60.29% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.54% ( 0.04) | 80.46% ( -0.05) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.32% ( 0.02) | 22.68% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.67% ( 0.03) | 56.33% ( -0.03) |
| Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.64% ( 0.06) | 45.36% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.78% ( 0.05) | 81.22% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Guinea |
| 1-0 @ 15.26% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.6% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 53.63% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.5% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 19.97% |
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