SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Guinea had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Guinea win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Algeria in this match.
| Result | ||
| Algeria | Draw | Guinea |
44.52% ( -0.24) | 27.45% ( 0.07) | 28.03% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 47.05% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.91% ( -0.15) | 58.09% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.24% ( -0.12) | 78.76% ( 0.12) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% ( -0.19) | 25.97% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.01% ( -0.26) | 60.99% ( 0.26) |
| Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.55% ( 0.06) | 36.45% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.76% ( 0.06) | 73.24% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Algeria | Draw | Guinea |
| 1-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.51% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 1.88% Total : 28.04% |
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