With three proven goalscorers in Pepe, Zaha and Ajax talisman Sebastien Haller leading the charge, Ivory Coast's chances of finding their way through a much-changed England side ought to be relatively high.
The odd consolation goal should be where the joy ends for Ivory Coast, though, with England very rarely giving much away at Wembley and possessing the options for change needed to make the net ripple several times themselves in what ought to be another strong victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Ivory Coast win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.
