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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Cairo International Stadium
GN

Egypt
1 - 0
Guinea

Mohamed (87')
Fathi (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Diawara (29'), Camara (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Ethiopia 2-0 Egypt
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: South Korea vs. Egypt
Tuesday, June 14 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Six:
Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Malawi
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Guinea vs. Ethiopia
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Egypt 2-1 Guinea

Egypt will be looking to quickly put their World Cup disappointment behind them and get their AFCON qualifiers off to a good note. Unbeaten in 10 straight home games, the Pharaohs are firm favourites to come away with the win and we are backing them to see off the out-of-sorts visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.

Result
EgyptDrawGuinea
58.39% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 25.67%15.94% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 37.82% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.46% (0.035000000000004 0.04)62.54% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.87% (0.026999999999997 0.03)82.13% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.63% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)54.75% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.26% (0.061999999999998 0.06)51.74% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.17% (0.041 0.04)85.83% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Egypt 58.38%
    Guinea 15.94%
    Draw 25.67%
EgyptDrawGuinea
1-0 @ 17.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 13.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 58.38%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.85% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 7.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 3.72% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 15.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Egypt (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, March 29 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Egypt 1-0 Senegal
Friday, March 25 at 7.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Senegal 0-0 Egypt (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, February 6 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Cameroon 0-0 Egypt (1-3 pen.)
Thursday, February 3 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Egypt 2-1 Morocco
Sunday, January 30 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Ivory Coast 0-0 Egypt (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, January 26 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Guinea
Friday, March 25 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guinea 0-1 Gambia
Monday, January 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Zimbabwe 2-1 Guinea
Tuesday, January 18 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Senegal 0-0 Guinea
Friday, January 14 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Malawi
Monday, January 10 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Morocco 3-0 Guinea
Tuesday, November 16 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa


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