SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 15.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.
| Result | ||
| Egypt | Draw | Guinea |
58.39% ( -0.03) | 25.67% | 15.94% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 37.82% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.46% ( 0.04) | 62.54% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.87% ( 0.03) | 82.13% ( -0.03) |
| Egypt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% ( 0) | 21.63% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.25% ( 0.01) | 54.75% ( -0) |
| Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.26% ( 0.06) | 51.74% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.17% ( 0.04) | 85.83% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Egypt | Draw | Guinea |
| 1-0 @ 17.13% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 58.38% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 15.94% |
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