SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zambia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Namibia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Uganda | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 14.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Zambia |
61.35% ( -0.01) | 23.67% ( -0) | 14.98% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 40.71% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.5% ( 0.03) | 57.5% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.7% ( 0.03) | 78.29% ( -0.03) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.5% ( 0.01) | 18.5% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.29% ( 0.01) | 49.71% ( -0.01) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.95% ( 0.04) | 50.05% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.31% ( 0.03) | 84.69% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Zambia |
| 1-0 @ 15.62% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 13.18% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.42% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.13% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.75% Total : 61.35% | 1-1 @ 10.81% 0-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 23.67% | 0-1 @ 6.41% 1-2 @ 3.74% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 14.98% |
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