Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Algeria had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Algeria win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.
