SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (7.98%).
| Result | ||
| Kenya | Draw | Burundi |
55.5% ( 0.02) | 26.47% ( -0.01) | 18.02% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39.34% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.45% ( 0.03) | 62.54% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.86% ( 0.02) | 82.14% ( -0.02) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( 0.02) | 22.84% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.43% ( 0.03) | 56.57% ( -0.03) |
| Burundi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.99% ( 0.01) | 49.01% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.04% ( 0) | 83.96% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kenya | Draw | Burundi |
| 1-0 @ 16.53% 2-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 55.5% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.2% 0-2 @ 2.85% ( -0)1-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.99% Total : 18.02% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
