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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 15, 2021 at 1pm UK
 
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Kenya
2 - 1
Rwanda

Olunga (2'), Odada (15' pen.)
Odada (49'), Okumu (53'), Saruni (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Niyonzima (66')
Niyonzima (49'), Rukundo (57')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kenya would win this match.

Result
KenyaDrawRwanda
53.97%25.18%20.85%
Both teams to score 46.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.75%55.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.52%76.47%
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53%20.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.06%52.94%
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.52%41.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.02%77.97%
Score Analysis
    Kenya 53.96%
    Rwanda 20.85%
    Draw 25.18%
KenyaDrawRwanda
1-0 @ 13.46%
2-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 9.4%
3-0 @ 5.65%
3-1 @ 4.97%
4-0 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 53.96%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 8.49%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.47%
1-2 @ 5.22%
0-2 @ 3.29%
1-3 @ 1.53%
2-3 @ 1.21%
0-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 20.85%

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