SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.78%), while for a Pakistan win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kenya in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kenya.
| Result | ||
| Kenya | Draw | Pakistan |
51.67% ( 0.09) | 28.35% ( -0.04) | 19.98% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 37.77% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.87% ( 0.06) | 66.12% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.33% ( 0.04) | 84.67% ( -0.04) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% ( 0.07) | 26.18% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.74% ( 0.1) | 61.26% ( -0.1) |
| Pakistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.16% ( -0.02) | 48.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.16% ( -0.01) | 83.84% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kenya | Draw | Pakistan |
| 1-0 @ 17.13% 2-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 51.66% | 0-0 @ 12.78% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 28.34% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.98% |
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