SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| 2 | USA | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Wales | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 74.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 8.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.18%) and 3-0 (11.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Kenya win it was 0-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Iran | Draw | Kenya |
74.54% ( -0.01) | 17.26% ( 0) | 8.2% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 37.98% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.27% ( -0.01) | 48.73% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.16% ( -0.01) | 70.83% ( 0.01) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.53% ( -0.01) | 11.47% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.7% ( -0.01) | 36.3% ( 0.01) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.9% ( -0) | 57.1% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.9% ( -0) | 89.1% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iran | Draw | Kenya |
| 2-0 @ 15.35% 1-0 @ 14.18% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 11.08% 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0)4-0 @ 6% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)6-0 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 74.53% | 1-1 @ 7.95% ( 0) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0)2-2 @ 2.41% Other @ 0.35% Total : 17.26% | 0-1 @ 3.67% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.23% 0-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.28% Total : 8.2% |
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