SM
| Current Third Round Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | South Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Iraq | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Jordan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Oman | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Kuwait | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Palestine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kuwait win with a probability of 45.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 26.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kuwait win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kuwait | Draw | Lebanon |
45.99% ( 0.09) | 27.7% ( -0.11) | 26.31% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.23% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.17% ( 0.39) | 59.83% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.89% ( 0.3) | 80.11% ( -0.3) |
| Kuwait Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% ( 0.23) | 26.03% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.94% ( 0.3) | 61.06% ( -0.3) |
| Lebanon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.14% ( 0.24) | 38.86% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.41% ( 0.23) | 75.59% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kuwait | Draw | Lebanon |
| 1-0 @ 13.61% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 45.99% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.52% Total : 26.31% |
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