SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kuwait win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Libya had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kuwait win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Libya win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kuwait | Draw | Libya |
40.1% ( 0.02) | 28.1% ( 0.02) | 31.8% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.9% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.91% ( -0.06) | 59.09% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.46% ( -0.05) | 79.54% ( 0.05) |
| Kuwait Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.18% ( -0.02) | 28.82% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.33% ( -0.02) | 64.67% ( 0.02) |
| Libya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.88% ( -0.06) | 34.12% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.19% ( -0.07) | 70.81% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kuwait | Draw | Libya |
| 1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.66% Total : 40.1% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.1% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.8% |
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