SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 45.32%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Kuwait had a probability of 26.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.1%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Kuwait win it was 1-0 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kuwait | Draw | Iraq |
26.61% ( 1.13) | 28.07% ( 1.53) | 45.32% ( -2.66) |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( -3.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.1% ( -4.65) | 60.89% ( 4.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.08% ( -3.63) | 80.91% ( 3.62) |
| Kuwait Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.81% ( -1.61) | 39.18% ( 1.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.1% ( -1.53) | 75.9% ( 1.53) |
| Iraq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.14% ( -3.38) | 26.85% ( 3.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.83% ( -4.67) | 62.16% ( 4.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kuwait | Draw | Iraq |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 1.22) 2-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.2)Other @ 1.48% Total : 26.61% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.45) 0-0 @ 10.52% ( 1.7)2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.45)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.06% | 0-1 @ 13.83% ( 1.05) 0-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.17)1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.55)0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.49)1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.65)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.39)0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.31)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.36)Other @ 1.86% Total : 45.31% |
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