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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kuwait win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Uganda had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kuwait win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest Uganda win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kuwait | Draw | Uganda |
40.02% ( 0.08) | 29.31% ( -0.03) | 30.67% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.26% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.58% ( 0.07) | 63.42% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.23% ( 0.05) | 82.77% ( -0.05) |
| Kuwait Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.99% ( 0.09) | 31.01% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.68% ( 0.1) | 67.32% ( -0.1) |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.71% ( 0) | 37.29% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.92% ( 0) | 74.08% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kuwait | Draw | Uganda |
| 1-0 @ 13.54% 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.02% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.3% | 0-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 30.66% |
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