SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kuwait win with a probability of 55.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Afghanistan had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kuwait win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for an Afghanistan win it was 1-0 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kuwait would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Afghanistan | Draw | Kuwait |
20.58% ( -0.05) | 23.84% ( -0.21) | 55.57% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 50.01% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.55% ( 0.78) | 50.44% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.62% ( 0.69) | 72.37% ( -0.68) |
| Afghanistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.99% ( 0.39) | 39% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.27% ( 0.37) | 75.72% ( -0.37) |
| Kuwait Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.99% ( 0.39) | 18% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.12% ( 0.66) | 48.87% ( -0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Afghanistan | Draw | Kuwait |
| 1-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.43% Total : 20.58% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.84% | 0-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 10.32% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 5.9% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 2.53% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.4% Total : 55.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 36 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 32 |
| 4 | Manchester CityMan City | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 30 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 27 |
| 6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 27 |
| 7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 26 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 25 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 19 |
| 11 | Brentford | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 19 |
| 12 | Fulham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 18 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 16 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
| 17 | Everton | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 10 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 9 |
| 19 | Burnley | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 7 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 41 | -30 | 5 |
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