SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 57.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Niger had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.02%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.94%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Libya | Draw | Niger |
57.28% ( 0.27) | 26.42% ( -0.39) | 16.3% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 36.8% ( 1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.7% ( 1.24) | 64.3% ( -1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.6% ( 0.87) | 83.4% ( -0.87) |
| Libya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( 0.66) | 22.84% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.44% ( 0.96) | 56.57% ( -0.96) |
| Niger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.69% ( 0.93) | 52.31% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.79% ( 0.6) | 86.21% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Libya | Draw | Niger |
| 1-0 @ 17.64% ( -0.47) 2-0 @ 13.02% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.35% Total : 57.27% | 0-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.56) 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.31% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.35% Total : 16.3% |
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