SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zambia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Morocco | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Uganda win it was 0-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Uganda |
47.32% ( 0.78) | 28.62% ( -0.1) | 24.06% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 41.18% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.94% ( -0.09) | 64.05% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.77% ( -0.06) | 83.22% ( 0.06) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% ( 0.36) | 27.33% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.22% ( 0.46) | 62.78% ( -0.46) |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.67% ( -0.7) | 43.33% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.43% ( -0.59) | 79.57% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zambia | Draw | Uganda |
| 1-0 @ 15.36% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.23)2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.68% Total : 47.32% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.61% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.02% Total : 24.06% |
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