SM
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for North Macedonia had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest North Macedonia win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| North Macedonia | Draw | Finland |
36.03% ( -0.08) | 22.69% ( -0.05) | 41.27% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 66.34% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.52% ( 0.24) | 34.48% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.6% ( 0.27) | 56.4% ( -0.27) |
| North Macedonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% ( 0.07) | 19.71% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.29% ( 0.11) | 51.71% ( -0.11) |
| Finland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.62% ( 0.15) | 17.38% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.21% ( 0.26) | 47.79% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| North Macedonia | Draw | Finland |
| 2-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 36.03% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 41.27% |
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