Nations League | League C

Jun 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

N. Macedonia
0 - 3
Georgia

Velkovski (39'), Bardhi (74'), Babunski (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Zivzivadze (52'), Kvaratskhelia (62'), Kiteishvili (84')
Kakabadze (21'), Zivzivadze (45'), Kverkvelia (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between North Macedonia and Georgia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

North Macedonia

Last Six:

Last Game: N. Macedonia 0-3 Georgia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: N. Macedonia vs. Gibraltar
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

Georgia

Last Six:

Last Game: N. Macedonia 0-3 Georgia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Georgia vs. Bulgaria
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

We said: North Macedonia 1-1 Georgia

This has all the makings of a fixture which could potentially decide the group further down the line, resulting in smaller margins for error. Although North Macedonia will hope to make the most of home advantage, Georgia have been excellent of late and should have enough belief to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Georgia win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
North Macedonia	Draw	Georgia
46.94% ( -0.02)	25.53% ( 0.02)	27.52% ( 0)

Both teams to score 52.34% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.92% (

-0.08)

51.08% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.07% (

-0.07)

72.93% (

0.07)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.24% (

-0.04)

21.76% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.05% (

-0.07)

54.94% (

0.07)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.89% (

-0.04)

33.1% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.3% (

-0.04)

69.7% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

North Macedonia 46.93%

Georgia 27.52%

Draw 25.53%

North Macedonia	Draw	Georgia
1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 46.93%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.53%	0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.46% Total : 27.52%