SM
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Georgia win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Georgia | Draw | North Macedonia |
33.37% ( -0.08) | 25.6% ( 0.04) | 41.03% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.09% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.14% ( -0.18) | 48.86% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.04% ( -0.16) | 70.96% ( 0.17) |
| Georgia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% ( -0.14) | 27.89% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.49% ( -0.18) | 63.51% ( 0.18) |
| North Macedonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% ( -0.05) | 23.61% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.31% ( -0.08) | 57.68% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Georgia | Draw | North Macedonia |
| 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 33.37% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 41.03% |
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