SM
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 16.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.24%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for North Macedonia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for North Macedonia.
| Result | ||
| Gibraltar | Draw | North Macedonia |
16.81% ( -0.09) | 23.98% ( 0) | 59.22% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 43.45% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.13% ( -0.15) | 55.87% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.01% ( -0.12) | 76.99% ( 0.12) |
| Gibraltar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.43% ( -0.21) | 46.57% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.84% ( -0.16) | 82.16% ( 0.16) |
| North Macedonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% ( -0.02) | 18.68% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.99% ( -0.03) | 50.01% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gibraltar | Draw | North Macedonia |
| 1-0 @ 6.65% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.36% Total : 16.81% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.55% Total : 23.98% | 0-1 @ 14.59% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 12.24% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.85% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 59.21% |
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