SM
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 15.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.13%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| North Macedonia | Draw | Gibraltar |
60.47% ( -0.03) | 24.2% ( -0.01) | 15.33% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 40.13% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.27% ( 0.09) | 58.73% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.74% ( 0.07) | 79.26% ( -0.07) |
| North Macedonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.71% ( 0.03) | 19.29% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.96% ( 0.04) | 51.03% ( -0.04) |
| Gibraltar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.72% ( 0.11) | 50.28% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.15% ( 0.07) | 84.85% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| North Macedonia | Draw | Gibraltar |
| 1-0 @ 15.96% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 13.13% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.51% Total : 60.46% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.42% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 15.33% |
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