Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Venezuela | 3 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
3 | Mexico | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Jamaica | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
Result | ||
Mexico | Draw | New Zealand |
51.76% ( -0.21) | 25.09% ( 0.18) | 23.15% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.63% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.35% ( -0.67) | 52.65% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.7% ( -0.57) | 74.3% ( 0.58) |
Mexico Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.66% ( -0.35) | 20.34% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.27% ( -0.56) | 52.73% ( 0.57) |
New Zealand Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.3% ( -0.34) | 37.7% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.52% ( -0.34) | 74.48% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Mexico | Draw | New Zealand |
1-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.64% Total : 51.75% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 23.15% |
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