SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mongolia win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Cambodia had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mongolia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Cambodia win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mongolia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mongolia | Draw | Cambodia |
40.85% ( -0.1) | 24.8% ( -0.04) | 34.35% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.1% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.93% ( 0.2) | 45.07% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.58% ( 0.19) | 67.42% ( -0.19) |
| Mongolia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( 0.04) | 22.04% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.64% ( 0.06) | 55.36% ( -0.06) |
| Cambodia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% ( 0.18) | 25.48% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.68% ( 0.24) | 60.32% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mongolia | Draw | Cambodia |
| 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 40.85% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.35% |
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