SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Afghanistan win with a probability of 68.21%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 12.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Afghanistan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.11%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Mongolia win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Afghanistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mongolia | Draw | Afghanistan |
12.44% ( -0.11) | 19.35% ( -0.29) | 68.21% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 46.6% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.17% ( 0.98) | 45.82% ( -0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.86% ( 0.92) | 68.14% ( -0.92) |
| Mongolia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.19% ( 0.43) | 46.81% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.66% ( 0.33) | 82.34% ( -0.32) |
| Afghanistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.61% ( 0.41) | 12.39% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.73% ( 0.84) | 38.26% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mongolia | Draw | Afghanistan |
| 1-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 12.44% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.71% Total : 19.35% | 0-2 @ 12.64% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.31)1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 8.8% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 6.68% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 4.6% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 3.49% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.07)0-5 @ 1.92% ( 0.07)1-5 @ 1.46% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.05% Total : 68.2% |
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