SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Afghanistan win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Afghanistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Mongolia win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Afghanistan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Afghanistan | Draw | Mongolia |
57.45% ( 2.1) | 22.76% ( -1.17) | 19.79% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( 2.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.03% ( 3.63) | 46.97% ( -3.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.79% ( 3.3) | 69.22% ( -3.29) |
| Afghanistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( 2.06) | 16.09% ( -2.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.52% ( 3.63) | 45.48% ( -3.63) |
| Mongolia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.17% ( 1.1) | 37.83% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.39% ( 1.06) | 74.61% ( -1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Afghanistan | Draw | Mongolia |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.93) 2-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.49)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.32)4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.33)4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.39)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.22)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.18)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.23% Total : 57.44% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.56) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.98)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.76% | 0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.75) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.56% Total : 19.79% |
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