SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | -20 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 60.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Mongolia win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Azerbaijan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Azerbaijan.
| Result | ||
| Azerbaijan | Draw | Mongolia |
60.27% ( 0.01) | 23.67% ( -0) | 16.06% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.87% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.15% ( -0.02) | 55.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.03% ( -0.01) | 76.97% ( 0.01) |
| Azerbaijan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.72% ( -0) | 18.28% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.66% ( -0) | 49.34% ( 0) |
| Mongolia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.45% ( -0.02) | 47.55% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.11% ( -0.01) | 82.89% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Azerbaijan | Draw | Mongolia |
| 1-0 @ 14.76% 2-0 @ 12.55% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.11% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 60.27% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.53% Total : 23.67% | 0-1 @ 6.46% 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.4% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 16.06% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
