SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 75.45%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Cambodia had a probability of 8.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.81%) and 3-0 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Cambodia win it was 0-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match.
| Result | ||
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Cambodia |
75.45% ( 0.09) | 15.76% ( -0.05) | 8.79% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.5% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.97% ( 0.13) | 40.02% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.61% ( 0.14) | 62.39% ( -0.13) |
| Equatorial Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.03% ( 0.05) | 8.97% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.4% ( 0.13) | 30.6% ( -0.12) |
| Cambodia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.99% ( 0.01) | 50.01% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.33% ( 0.01) | 84.66% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Cambodia |
| 2-0 @ 13.04% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.69% Total : 75.44% | 1-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.65% Total : 15.76% | 0-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 8.79% |
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