While Willy Sagnol may want to run the rule over some fresh faces, his primary focus this weekend is to ready Georgia for their clash with Norway. Therefore, the European side should secure an expected victory, but perhaps without racking up a hatful of goals.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 71.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 9.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.16%) and 3-0 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Mongolia win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.
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