SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambodia win with a probability of 82.9%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 4.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambodia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.57%) and 1-0 (12.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Mongolia win it was 0-1 (2.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Cambodia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cambodia.
| Result | ||
| Cambodia | Draw | Mongolia |
82.9% ( -0.04) | 12.37% ( 0.03) | 4.73% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 34.72% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.09% ( -0.04) | 40.91% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.7% ( -0.04) | 63.3% ( 0.04) |
| Cambodia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.52% ( -0.02) | 7.48% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.12% ( -0.05) | 26.88% ( 0.05) |
| Mongolia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 37.53% ( 0.05) | 62.47% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.14% ( 0.02) | 91.86% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambodia | Draw | Mongolia |
| 2-0 @ 15.7% 3-0 @ 13.57% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0)5-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.14% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.15% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 82.88% | 1-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 12.37% | 0-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 1.19% Total : 4.73% |
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