SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 74.56%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Laos had a probability of 9.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 3-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.62%), while for a Laos win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nepal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nepal | Draw | Laos |
74.56% ( 1.47) | 16.04% ( -1.01) | 9.4% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 47.11% ( 1.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.68% ( 3.34) | 39.32% ( -3.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.34% ( 3.41) | 61.66% ( -3.4) |
| Nepal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91% ( 1.21) | 9% ( -1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.32% ( 2.83) | 30.68% ( -2.82) |
| Laos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.77% ( 1.3) | 48.23% ( -1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.6% ( 0.93) | 83.4% ( -0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nepal | Draw | Laos |
| 2-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.58) 1-0 @ 10.45% ( -1.08)3-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.33)4-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.37)4-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.42)5-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.32)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.21)5-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.3)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.21)6-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.18)Other @ 3.83% Total : 74.55% | 1-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.48) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.71)2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.73% Total : 16.04% | 0-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.3% Total : 9.4% |
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